For years I have gambled on sports as a hobby, as I am sure, many of you do also. I did not do poorly, picking games, watching games, and generally having a great time doing so. I always wondered what it would take to actually turn a real profit! How do people make a living gambling on sports? I toyed with many different theories, systems, and actually paid to follow several of the top handicappers to bleed information and test theories. If any of you have ever paid for picks, you know what that experience is like. First, you get some overly exuberant, fast-talking, sales person that makes you feel like an idiot if you don’t have 10 grand to bankroll your “investment”, then after you pay anywhere from $25.00 for one pick, to several hundred dollars per month, you lose! How can that be? How can someone charge several hundred dollars per month for losing picks? It is incredible, and incredibly stupid that basic gamblers would ever do it!
I have followed many of these so-called experts for years. What has become intensely obvious is that there are no experts that actually win 70%, 80%, or even 90% of their picks, as they claim. Most of them are terrible! Most of them have their phone numbers posted with “free” picks, only to give half of you one side, and the other half of you, the other side! Are you kidding? They now have produced 50% of you with a winner, and you are ready to sign up. The other half of you get the whole next month for free. Just what you always wanted! A month of free picks from someone that just lost you a bunch of money! This scam is beautiful, crazy, and just goes to show how incredibly desperate many sports gamblers are, to get a winning pick!
What I have gathered over the years is an incredible amount of systems, ideas, and knowledge about the sports gambling industry and just how it works against most of us average bettors just trying to have some fun. After all of this research and a lot of time spent, I finally figured it all out! I figured out how to make a profit gambling on sports! It has been such an eye-opening experience that I can’t wait to find the thousands of others out there just like me. Sports fans that love to bet on sports, watch sports, and if you could actually put that to good use and turn a profit, it would be incredible!
There are many different ways that the experts in Vegas take advantage of us average Joe Gamblers, and the base media helps them to further deceive us and take our money! Over the next year, I will attempt to give as much information as possible to help all of you better understand how to gamble for profit, and how to manage your money to minimize exposure and maximize profit! There are not magic formulas! It takes time and discipline, but it is not that hard, and once you have it figured out, it makes all the sense in the world.
There are very few of us that can pick winners, and I do pick a lot of winners and have a winning percentage over the years. That winning percentage always made me feel good, but after taking the juice out, I didn’t make much profit. Then I learned a better way to manage money and a better way to bet on and against streaks. There are many handicappers that sell chase systems that show crazy winning percentages, and most of them are true, but they chase for so long that you end up with an obnoxious amount of money wagered, just to win one unit! My stomach can’t take that, so I have reduced the amount of the chase to minimize my exposure, save my stomach, and get profits. Baseball has turned out to be the easiest sport to make money, and the same theory is used for NBA. I have tweaked the systems for NHL, NCAAB, and the NFL, in a fashion that works. Most of the best systems are contrarian in nature, which will sometimes make them difficult to believe. However, contrarian is the only way to make a profit while gambling on sports. It is imperative that you do not follow the sheep and bet on the games and teams that “everyone” is taking. That is what the bookmakers love, and that is what makes them money. That is when they keep stretching the line, making it more and more difficult to give the points or odds. That is when they take advantage of media hype and public opinion to take advantage of us because they know our trends. They know how we bet! They know which teams the public is supporting, and they take advantage of the public. That sounds easy! Just bet against public opinion! That is great, but then you will just be in that 50-55% winning area that is fun, but does not produce profit.
For starters, watch the lines over the end of the NFL season. Watch how the lines will increase on the teams that are garnering all of the media hype! See if you can begin to identify the parallel lines drawn between media hype, public opinion, and increase betting lines! Once you begin to identify those similarities, you will be taking your first step to understanding sports gambling and understanding how you can make a profit!
Best of luck with the NFL Playoffs and the Super Bowl! They are always fun, but understand that more money is gambled on the NFL than nearly all other sports combined! With that huge amount of money wagered, and the limited number of games available, it is the bookmaker’s dream sport, and the hardest sport for us to make money! Soon, football is over, and that is the time to start working on building your bankroll through NBA, NCAAB, NHL and the ultimate easy money-maker, MLB! Stay tuned as I will begin to outline contrarian perspectives, and help all of us to identify the right type of streaks to bet on and bet against! Good Luck!